Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.033827 0.042148 0.051841 0.063925 0.078544 0.095610 0.116995
2025-09-07 0.022395 0.032420 0.045735 0.064536 0.090197 0.123758 0.170690
2025-09-14 0.015883 0.025800 0.040346 0.062880 0.096462 0.144102 0.216076
2025-09-21 0.011812 0.021181 0.036130 0.061153 0.101246 0.161999 0.259651
2025-09-28 0.009125 0.017882 0.032942 0.059929 0.105968 0.179789 0.304851
2025-10-05 0.008046 0.017003 0.033416 0.064543 0.120472 0.214389 0.380421
2025-10-12 0.006919 0.015719 0.032840 0.067092 0.131675 0.244847 0.452882
2025-10-19 0.005714 0.013946 0.030940 0.066755 0.137510 0.266673 0.513098
2025-10-26 0.004774 0.012481 0.029311 0.066562 0.143430 0.289166 0.576888
2025-11-02 0.003990 0.011153 0.027670 0.065987 0.148397 0.310330 0.640465
2025-11-09 0.003201 0.009590 0.025165 0.063068 0.148064 0.321169 0.685553
2025-11-16 0.002510 0.008072 0.022420 0.059056 0.144704 0.325433 0.718041
2025-11-23 0.001929 0.006737 0.019977 0.055696 0.143244 0.335509 0.768175
2025-11-30 0.001616 0.006089 0.019168 0.056259 0.151115 0.366990 0.868228
2025-12-07 0.001295 0.005287 0.017709 0.054800 0.153869 0.387648 0.947892
2025-12-14 0.001039 0.004594 0.016354 0.053278 0.156139 0.407460 1.028212
2025-12-21 0.000845 0.004039 0.015253 0.052199 0.159322 0.429804 1.117121
2025-12-28 0.000791 0.004011 0.015840 0.056266 0.177063 0.489673 1.301026
2026-01-04 0.000706 0.003822 0.015836 0.058514 0.190161 0.539765 1.467441
2026-01-11 0.000594 0.003454 0.015088 0.058216 0.195940 0.572076 1.594289
2026-01-18 0.000502 0.003136 0.014427 0.058047 0.202075 0.606147 1.729641
2026-01-25 0.000422 0.002831 0.013717 0.057539 0.207101 0.637948 1.863003
2026-02-01 0.000336 0.002440 0.012519 0.054965 0.205150 0.650380 1.947292